0x5e082f0b57f47a29044aa35b4c5658393122e659d5feae521c06b57cdd7f905c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $3.48M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.8% · CLOB volume $3.48M · whales 24h net $4.9k (22 wallets) · 7d net $22.8k · 6/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.8%
Yes
Implied No
98.2%
No
Volume
$3.48M
CLOB
Traders
4,239
46,620 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.8% → 1.7% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.9k
Buy
$15.1k
Sell
$10.2k
Whales
22
Last 7 days
Net flow
$22.8k
Buy
$71.8k
Sell
$49.0k
Whales
78
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x40f7…e8cd | $127.9k | $64.6k | $63.4k | $-1.2k |
| 0x60ab…3206 | $54.8k | $50.0k | $4.8k | $-45.2k |
| 0x33e6…89dc | $52.9k | $45.6k | $7.3k | $-38.4k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $51.8k | $51.4k | $405 | $-51.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb5a0…60c3 | 131 | $362.2k | $361.1k | 5 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 3,888 | $295.3k | $-295.3k | 8 |
| 0x33e6…89dc | 114 | $225.8k | $-156.7k | 2 |
| 0x40f7…e8cd | 217 | $190.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 13 total · Event board
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open · $8.82M
95.5%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
open · $3.48M
1.8%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open · $3.38M
0.9%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open · $2.95M
0.3%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open · $2.75M
0.3%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open · $3.00M
0.1%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $5.28M
0.1%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $4.96M
0.1%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $4.30M
0.1%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $4.23M
0.1%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $3.98M
0.1%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $3.53M
0.1%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
closed · $3.30M
0.1%
| 0xbd41…a6de | $46.0k | $45.9k | $173 | $-45.7k |
| 0xa667…84fe | $45.1k | $15.6k | $29.4k | $13.8k |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $37.6k | $12.6k | $24.9k | $12.3k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $35.5k | $35.5k | $0 | $-35.5k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $34.7k | $34.6k | $147 | $-34.4k |
| 0x9109…688a | $34.5k | $500 | $34.0k | $33.5k |
| 0xa774…d9af | $32.0k | $32.0k | $0 | $-32.0k |
| 0x8b01…24a9 | $28.8k | $28.4k | $353 | $-28.1k |
| $-1.1k |
| 2 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 1,345 | $168.2k | $-122.4k | 10 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 1,173 | $167.9k | $-167.8k | 11 |
| 0x0845…6b6f | 386 | $149.1k | $-144.1k | 2 |
| 0x8e91…3335 | 138 | $132.8k | $-119.3k | 4 |
| 0xbd41…a6de | 930 | $120.8k | $-120.5k | 3 |
| 0x8f41…260e | 682 | $117.9k | $-117.6k | 4 |
