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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Active 86 days left

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0xffa0accb74987c0dc33a70eb3780c1da160206bcfb3ef5d16c1667bc5c459c78

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $3.98M total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $3.98M · whales 24h net $123 (4 wallets) · 7d net $234 · 6/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$3.98M

CLOB

Traders

4,166

89,677 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$123

Buy

$207

Sell

$84

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$234

Buy

$524

Sell

$290

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($123)
•7d whale net still positive ($234)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-07 23:30:55

100.1¢$4

NOBUY2026-10-07 23:30:55

100000.0¢$4

NOBUY2026-10-07 07:35:32

100.1¢$39

NOBUY2026-10-07 07:35:32

100000.0¢$39

NOBUY2026-10-07 06:35:02

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x96e8…d240	$60.3k	$60.2k	$60	$-60.1k
0xc21e…0215	$37.4k	$37.4k	$4	$-37.4k
0x07d4…8991	$20.0k	$26	$20.0k	$20.0k
0x2106…4dea	$16.8k	$16.8k	$15	$-16.8k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb5a0…60c3	131	$362.2k	$361.1k	5
0xc21e…0215	3,889	$295.3k	$-295.3k	8
0x33e6…89dc	114	$225.8k	$-156.7k	2
0x40f7…e8cd	217	$190.0k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

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