Multi-outcome · 4 open · 1 closed hidden
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
Volume $83.8kTraders 237Trades 2,239
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
open · $30.7k
73.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
open · $31.9k
23.0%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
open · $3.7k
1.6%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
open · $3.1k
0.6%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x34db…1b634 mkts · $41.2k
- 0xc602…7fc12 mkts · $7.2k
- 0x321e…92922 mkts · $4.1k
- 0xf08b…517f1 mkts · $3.2k
- 0x2d6c…e3f52 mkts · $3.1k
- 0x21ff…0d715 mkts · $2.8k
- 0x655c…44205 mkts · $2.8k
- 0x6406…bc042 mkts · $2.4k
- 0x1f9e…4f1a2 mkts · $2.0k
- 0x4c9a…0cd42 mkts · $1.9k
- 0x625b…22cf2 mkts · $1.7k
- 0xad53…ef244 mkts · $1.7k
- 0x8765…ed813 mkts · $1.6k
- 0x0f99…67342 mkts · $1.6k
- 0x2128…f2031 mkts · $1.5k