0xbbd3a0e2bf9512aca0676b07657e6056a1a7d90efc0d03cff8ad4e84562b4d4d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?” trades at 74% YES on Polymarket with $30.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 73.5% · CLOB volume $30.7k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1.4k · 4/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
73.5%
Yes
Implied No
26.5%
No
Volume
$30.7k
CLOB
Traders
154
925 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$2.8k
Sell
$1.4k
Whales
25
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | $19.4k | $10.1k | $9.2k | $-921 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5 | $1.8k | $1.3k | $496 | $-802 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $1.8k | $1.7k | $62 | $-1.6k |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | $1.5k | $1.0k | $420 | $-614 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | 681 | $41.2k | $1.1k | 4 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 99 | $7.2k | $-4.8k | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 87 | $4.1k | $-1.7k | 2 |
| 0xf08b…517f | 94 | $3.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
open · $30.7k
73.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
open · $31.9k
23.0%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
open · $3.7k
1.6%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
open · $3.1k
0.6%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?
closed · $1.6k
0.1%
| 0x2128…f203 | $1.5k | $743 | $710 | $-33 |
| 0xbaaa…90a4 | $1.3k | $690 | $649 | $-41 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0x655c…4420 | $1.1k | $882 | $200 | $-682 |
| 0x8765…ed81 | $999 | $999 | $0 | $-999 |
| 0xef34…0ff6 | $930 | $200 | $730 | $530 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | $883 | $883 | $0 | $-883 |
| 0x625b…22cf | $877 | $540 | $337 | $-202 |
| $6 |
| 1 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5 | 105 | $3.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 73 | $2.8k | $-2.8k | 5 |
| 0x655c…4420 | 73 | $2.8k | $-1.6k | 5 |
| 0x6406…bc04 | 59 | $2.4k | $-1.7k | 2 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 35 | $2.0k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | 58 | $1.9k | $-1.9k | 2 |
