0x71ccb7c37fc5e6f71ceee0df9593e21c7b60513f986ac7c3d61318f8f3921292
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $1.6k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $1.6k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 4/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
100.0%
No
Volume
$1.6k
CLOB
Traders
22
41 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x105b…b213 | $618 | $1 | $617 | $616 |
| 0x655c…4420 | $164 | $164 | $0 | $-164 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $132 | $132 | $0 | $-132 |
| 0x7474…cef7 | $100 | $100 | $0 | $-100 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | 681 | $41.2k | $1.1k | 4 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 99 | $7.2k | $-4.8k | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 87 | $4.1k | $-1.7k | 2 |
| 0xf08b…517f | 94 | $3.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
open · $30.7k
73.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
open · $31.9k
23.0%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
open · $3.7k
1.6%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
open · $3.1k
0.6%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?
closed · $1.6k
0.1%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $79 | $79 | $0 | $-79 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $65 | $65 | $0 | $-65 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $51 | $51 | $0 | $-51 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | $40 | $20 | $20 | $0 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $32 | $32 | $0 | $-32 |
| 0xfbed…a665 | $30 | $30 | $0 | $-30 |
| 0xae2a…384d | $20 | $20 | $0 | $-20 |
| 0xfaa2…36bb | $16 | $16 | $0 | $-16 |
| $6 |
| 1 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5 | 105 | $3.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 73 | $2.8k | $-2.8k | 5 |
| 0x655c…4420 | 73 | $2.8k | $-1.6k | 5 |
| 0x6406…bc04 | 59 | $2.4k | $-1.7k | 2 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 35 | $2.0k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | 58 | $1.9k | $-1.9k | 2 |
