0x8be578e4537f478c2e5945355b774e3aeef1340d9b3fca2ebffefca071bc2020
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $14.5k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 1.8% · CLOB volume $14.5k · whales 24h net $-1.2k (10 wallets) · 7d net $5.0k · 9/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.8%
Yes
Implied No
98.3%
No
Volume
$14.5k
CLOB
Traders
145
391 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.9% → 1.8% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-1.2k
Buy
$1.7k
Sell
$2.8k
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5.0k
Buy
$9.0k
Sell
$4.1k
Whales
37
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | $4.5k | $4.0k | $493 | $-3.5k |
| 0xa09b…071e | $2.8k | $51 | $2.8k | $2.7k |
| 0x6a67…df6f | $1.7k | $1.6k | $40 | $-1.6k |
| 0x9661…7219 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $2 | $-1.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | 97 | $22.3k | $-9.7k | 5 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | 101 | $11.1k | $-9.3k | 8 |
| 0x5036…3aad | 39 | $8.9k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0xcf07…c770 | 73 | $8.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
9 open · 9 total · Event board
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $131.1k
4.5%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $49.3k
3.3%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $74.8k
2.4%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $27.2k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $8.7k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
open · $12.0k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $158.7k
1.9%
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $14.5k
1.8%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $75.0k
1.7%
| 0xee67…67a6 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $0 | $-1.3k |
| 0x0eb1…5a16 | $1.0k | $613 | $412 | $-200 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $317 | $202 | $115 | $-86 |
| 0xac9b…d4c5 | $275 | $239 | $36 | $-204 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $266 | $168 | $98 | $-71 |
| 0x7957…ddbc | $223 | $202 | $22 | $-180 |
| 0x6ab1…2a73 | $202 | $113 | $89 | $-24 |
| 0xcc36…d35d | $164 | $135 | $29 | $-107 |
| $-3.0k |
| 3 |
| 0xee03…6edb | 33 | $6.1k | $-3.1k | 4 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | 36 | $5.5k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x8497…85f3 | 46 | $4.6k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0x014c…820c | 55 | $4.1k | $3.2k | 3 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 116 | $3.4k | $-1.5k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 73 | $3.4k | $-2.9k | 7 |
