0xc40b9080a94f13f2013636d9d04b845d2ffcf1b0349876f1c3abf19efc4867da
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $131.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.5% · CLOB volume $131.1k · whales 24h net $2.9k (26 wallets) · 7d net $11.7k · 9/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.5%
Yes
Implied No
95.5%
No
Volume
$131.1k
CLOB
Traders
421
2,256 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.4% → 5.0% (+3.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.9k
Buy
$4.6k
Sell
$1.7k
Whales
26
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.7k
Buy
$20.3k
Sell
$8.6k
Whales
62
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | $6.4k | $4.0k | $2.4k | $-1.6k |
| 0xcf07…c770 | $4.6k | $3.0k | $1.6k | $-1.4k |
| 0xee03…6edb | $2.2k | $1.4k | $779 | $-600 |
| 0x0684…ba27 | $2.1k | $1.4k | $698 | $-735 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | 97 | $22.3k | $-9.7k | 5 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | 101 | $11.1k | $-9.3k | 8 |
| 0x5036…3aad | 39 | $8.9k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0xcf07…c770 | 73 | $8.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
9 open · 9 total · Event board
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $131.1k
4.5%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $49.3k
3.3%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $74.8k
2.2%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $27.2k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $8.7k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
open · $12.0k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $158.7k
1.9%
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $14.5k
1.8%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $75.0k
0.9%
| 0xfa10…8f6b | $2.1k | $1.3k | $750 | $-577 |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8 | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0xce60…6705 | $1.5k | $970 | $500 | $-470 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.0k | $760 | $250 | $-510 |
| 0x6138…97a0 | $1000 | $1000 | $0 | $-1000 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | $958 | $644 | $314 | $-331 |
| 0x1af5…89ba | $938 | $759 | $178 | $-581 |
| 0x0bc3…70dd | $922 | $500 | $422 | $-78 |
| $-3.0k |
| 3 |
| 0xee03…6edb | 33 | $6.1k | $-3.1k | 4 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | 36 | $5.5k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x8497…85f3 | 46 | $4.6k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0x014c…820c | 55 | $4.1k | $3.2k | 3 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 116 | $3.4k | $-1.5k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 73 | $3.4k | $-2.9k | 7 |
