0x961d39ebff480c75486e57e8fd8bc5f7321e1b19b0f7095138be0efd7cf2ead1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $27.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.1% · CLOB volume $27.2k · whales 24h net $38 (8 wallets) · 7d net $4.5k · 9/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.1%
Yes
Implied No
97.9%
No
Volume
$27.2k
CLOB
Traders
250
890 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.0% → 1.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$38
Buy
$312
Sell
$274
Whales
8
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.5k
Buy
$5.6k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
44
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc456…8996 | $1.5k | $1.3k | $200 | $-1.1k |
| 0x220d…7018 | $1.4k | $1.0k | $373 | $-627 |
| 0x6ab1…2a73 | $1.3k | $1.2k | $63 | $-1.1k |
| 0xac9b…d4c5 | $1.1k | $819 | $327 | $-493 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | 97 | $22.3k | $-9.7k | 5 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | 101 | $11.1k | $-9.3k | 8 |
| 0x5036…3aad | 39 | $8.9k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0xcf07…c770 | 73 | $8.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
9 open · 9 total · Event board
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $131.1k
4.5%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $49.3k
3.3%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $74.8k
2.2%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $27.2k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $8.7k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
open · $12.0k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $158.7k
1.9%
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $14.5k
1.8%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $74.9k
1.6%
| 0x6a67…df6f | $1.0k | $972 | $50 | $-922 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $933 | $467 | $467 | $-0 |
| 0x710d…02aa | $777 | $600 | $177 | $-423 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | $729 | $721 | $8 | $-712 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $478 | $300 | $178 | $-122 |
| 0x63ad…c072 | $418 | $204 | $215 | $11 |
| 0x62ca…ee4b | $410 | $205 | $205 | $0 |
| 0xf17d…6f86 | $366 | $170 | $196 | $26 |
| $-3.0k |
| 3 |
| 0xee03…6edb | 33 | $6.1k | $-3.1k | 4 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | 36 | $5.5k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x8497…85f3 | 46 | $4.6k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0x014c…820c | 55 | $4.1k | $3.2k | 3 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 116 | $3.4k | $-1.5k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 73 | $3.4k | $-2.9k | 7 |
