0xb3aa9da576d62423159f8259d785080ac25e65471586308660ce15671758eefb
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $74.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.3% · CLOB volume $74.8k · whales 24h net $1.9k (17 wallets) · 7d net $11.8k · 9/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.3%
Yes
Implied No
97.7%
No
Volume
$74.8k
CLOB
Traders
297
1,513 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.8% → 2.9% (+1.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.9k
Buy
$3.5k
Sell
$1.5k
Whales
17
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.8k
Buy
$16.0k
Sell
$4.2k
Whales
63
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | $6.5k | $5.0k | $1.5k | $-3.5k |
| 0xcf07…c770 | $2.3k | $1.5k | $834 | $-658 |
| 0x8497…85f3 | $1.5k | $925 | $576 | $-349 |
| 0x4d2f…61ee | $1.3k | $1.2k | $83 | $-1.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | 97 | $22.3k | $-9.7k | 5 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | 101 | $11.1k | $-9.3k | 8 |
| 0x5036…3aad | 45 | $10.2k | $-6.7k | 2 |
| 0xcf07…c770 | 73 | $8.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
9 open · 9 total · Event board
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $131.1k
4.5%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $49.3k
3.3%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $74.8k
2.3%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $27.2k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $8.7k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
open · $12.0k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $158.7k
1.9%
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $14.5k
1.8%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $74.9k
1.5%
| 0xee03…6edb | $1.3k | $867 | $416 | $-451 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | $1.1k | $1.1k | $55 | $-1.0k |
| 0x9940…b140 | $895 | $797 | $98 | $-699 |
| 0xa800…bd7a | $669 | $350 | $319 | $-32 |
| 0x6fbb…a41a | $662 | $662 | $0 | $-662 |
| 0xce49…4d44 | $600 | $588 | $12 | $-576 |
| 0x9349…8d0f | $593 | $446 | $147 | $-299 |
| 0xc9c1…de26 | $448 | $228 | $221 | $-7 |
| $-3.0k |
| 3 |
| 0xee03…6edb | 33 | $6.1k | $-3.1k | 4 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | 36 | $5.5k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x8497…85f3 | 46 | $4.6k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0x014c…820c | 55 | $4.1k | $3.2k | 3 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 124 | $3.6k | $-1.6k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 76 | $3.4k | $-2.9k | 7 |
