0x9bb80411fb159d9f3798fe125672a61af141f7dc7d5465c14a5936e4ba878e49
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $1.11M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $1.11M · whales 24h net $10.1k (11 wallets) · 7d net $221.7k · 2/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.5%
Yes
Implied No
94.5%
No
Volume
$1.11M
CLOB
Traders
609
4,137 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.0% → 5.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$10.1k
Buy
$10.6k
Sell
$460
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$221.7k
Buy
$403.9k
Sell
$182.2k
Whales
169
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2106…4dea | $211.6k | $159.4k | $52.2k | $-107.2k |
| 0x8792…4174 | $84.7k | $56.6k | $28.1k | $-28.4k |
| 0x88c4…129a | $72.1k | $45.6k | $26.5k | $-19.1k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $70.8k | $23.5k | $47.3k | $23.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa894…bf95 | 137 | $954.6k | $-322.3k | 2 |
| 0xe130…4caa | 107 | $950.7k | $-315.1k | 2 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 1,857 | $456.1k | $-189.1k | 5 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 1,076 | $379.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 12 total · Event board
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
open · $1.47M
15.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
open · $1.11M
5.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
closed · $4.25M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
closed · $2.56M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
closed · $1.65M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
closed · $1.44M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
closed · $1.22M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
closed · $1.34M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
closed · $831.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
closed · $330.3k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
closed · $221.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
closed · $129.3k
0.0%
| 0x6139…6b7a | $67.8k | $34.2k | $33.7k | $-494 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | $59.7k | $59.7k | $0 | $-59.7k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $58.2k | $33.9k | $24.3k | $-9.7k |
| 0xe234…304a | $53.2k | $29.4k | $23.7k | $-5.7k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $48.8k | $37.1k | $11.7k | $-25.4k |
| 0x479d…d469 | $45.7k | $32.4k | $13.2k | $-19.2k |
| 0x7f9e…3a0e | $44.1k | $28.7k | $15.4k | $-13.3k |
| 0x551e…b0e0 | $36.0k | $5.0k | $31.0k | $26.1k |
| $-197.5k |
| 3 |
| 0x453a…81d2 | 512 | $304.7k | $67.1k | 3 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 219 | $269.7k | $-94.9k | 3 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | 64 | $269.2k | $-155.4k | 3 |
| 0x15e6…3c2b | 249 | $261.5k | $141 | 2 |
| 0xa91e…09e0 | 984 | $210.1k | $-40.4k | 1 |
| 0x9c26…74bc | 97 | $197.7k | $-103.0k | 4 |
