0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $1.47M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.5% · CLOB volume $1.47M · whales 24h net $11.9k (18 wallets) · 7d net $148.4k · 2/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.5%
Yes
Implied No
84.5%
No
Volume
$1.47M
CLOB
Traders
959
8,387 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
16.0% → 15.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$11.9k
Buy
$21.1k
Sell
$9.2k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$148.4k
Buy
$259.1k
Sell
$110.7k
Whales
149
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x88c4…129a | $178.1k | $126.8k | $51.4k | $-75.4k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $153.3k | $114.9k | $38.4k | $-76.5k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $101.9k | $77.2k | $24.7k | $-52.5k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $61.0k | $41.6k | $19.4k | $-22.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa894…bf95 | 137 | $954.6k | $-322.3k | 2 |
| 0xe130…4caa | 107 | $950.7k | $-315.1k | 2 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 1,857 | $456.1k | $-189.1k | 5 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 1,076 | $379.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 12 total · Event board
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
open · $1.47M
15.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
open · $1.11M
5.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
closed · $4.25M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
closed · $2.56M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
closed · $1.65M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
closed · $1.44M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
closed · $1.22M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
closed · $1.34M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
closed · $831.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
closed · $330.3k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
closed · $221.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
closed · $129.3k
0.0%
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $60.7k | $44.9k | $15.8k | $-29.1k |
| 0x3968…2b0f | $50.3k | $9.5k | $40.9k | $31.4k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $48.0k | $12.7k | $35.3k | $22.5k |
| 0x614d…1546 | $42.0k | $33.2k | $8.8k | $-24.4k |
| 0x8792…4174 | $34.0k | $18.0k | $16.1k | $-1.9k |
| 0x551e…b0e0 | $29.2k | $7.1k | $22.0k | $14.9k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $26.3k | $12.8k | $13.5k | $782 |
| 0x5ccf…79d7 | $25.9k | $21.6k | $4.3k | $-17.2k |
| $-197.5k |
| 3 |
| 0x453a…81d2 | 512 | $304.7k | $67.1k | 3 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 219 | $269.7k | $-94.9k | 3 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | 64 | $269.2k | $-155.4k | 3 |
| 0x15e6…3c2b | 249 | $261.5k | $141 | 2 |
| 0xa91e…09e0 | 984 | $210.1k | $-40.4k | 1 |
| 0x9c26…74bc | 97 | $197.7k | $-103.0k | 4 |
