Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?

0xc4aee530d8c0dd6ae4ca9191db2a9ef119b8ce2cf5bb5828ab5bfaeaa588ac4a

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $831.1k total volume.

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner No · final Yes 0.0% · CLOB volume $831.1k · 2/12 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

0.0%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$831.1k

CLOB

Traders

425

1,522 trades

Yes 0.0%No 100.0%

Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner No
•Final Yes 0.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-09-21 11:58:15

100.1¢$50

NOBUY2026-09-21 11:58:15

99.9¢$50

NOBUY2026-09-21 09:27:03

100.1¢$41

NOBUY2026-09-21 09:27:03

99.9¢$41

NOBUY2026-09-21 07:32:09

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xa894…bf95	$625.1k	$419.2k	$205.9k	$-213.2k
0xe130…4caa	$623.5k	$414.9k	$208.6k	$-206.2k
0x9f9e…4c57	$31.3k	$15.3k	$16.0k	$616
0x9178…a2b2	$22.1k	$12.0k	$10.1k	$-1.8k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xa894…bf95	137	$954.6k	$-322.3k	2
0xe130…4caa	107	$950.7k	$-315.1k	2
0x6139…6b7a	1,857	$456.1k	$-189.1k	5
0x2106…4dea	1,076	$379.2k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Convert these odds Explore traders Whale feed API