0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?” trades at 83% YES on Polymarket with $1.41M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 82.5% · CLOB volume $1.41M · whales 24h net $44.6k (85 wallets) · 7d net $241.7k · 3/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
82.5%
Yes
Implied No
17.5%
No
Volume
$1.41M
CLOB
Traders
918
7,931 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
83.0% → 82.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$44.6k
Buy
$83.6k
Sell
$39.1k
Whales
85
Last 7 days
Net flow
$241.7k
Buy
$467.7k
Sell
$226.0k
Whales
269
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x187f…5fee | $131.2k | $62.3k | $68.8k | $6.5k |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $121.5k | $84.6k | $36.9k | $-47.7k |
| 0xd46b…5dab | $97.5k | $53.6k | $43.9k | $-9.7k |
| 0x1359…092e | $84.1k | $77.2k | $6.9k | $-70.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1359…092e | 542 | $318.8k | $-242.1k | 4 |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | 477 | $302.9k | $-129.2k | 5 |
| 0x187f…5fee | 478 | $283.9k | $-33.8k | 4 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 688 | $273.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 11 total · Event board
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
closed · $3.33M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
closed · $3.39M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
closed · $3.34M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
closed · $2.96M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
closed · $2.53M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
closed · $2.65M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
closed · $953.3k
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
closed · $2.36M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
open · $1.41M
82.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
open · $505.9k
65.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
open · $933.2k
59.5%
| 0xa8c6…44e8 | $82.4k | $71.9k | $10.5k | $-61.4k |
| 0xe234…304a | $81.8k | $41.1k | $40.6k | $-490 |
| 0x2106…4dea | $66.8k | $58.8k | $8.0k | $-50.8k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $66.3k | $44.5k | $21.8k | $-22.7k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $65.7k | $65.7k | $0 | $-65.7k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $60.7k | $60.7k | $0 | $-60.7k |
| 0x88c4…129a | $52.3k | $36.7k | $15.6k | $-21.1k |
| 0x62cf…5826 | $49.9k | $36.5k | $13.4k | $-23.2k |
| $-247.1k |
| 5 |
| 0xc851…cd2a | 183 | $262.9k | $-114.2k | 3 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 570 | $242.2k | $-128.6k | 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 1,165 | $217.7k | $-216.7k | 5 |
| 0xe234…304a | 423 | $215.0k | $-27.5k | 5 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 246 | $213.3k | $-124.7k | 2 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 603 | $212.5k | $-50.5k | 5 |
