0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?” trades at 59% YES on Polymarket with $933.0k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 59.0% · CLOB volume $933.0k · whales 24h net $12.1k (37 wallets) · 7d net $81.1k · 3/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
59.0%
Yes
Implied No
41.0%
No
Volume
$933.0k
CLOB
Traders
555
5,502 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
59.0% → 58.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.1k
Buy
$29.2k
Sell
$17.1k
Whales
37
Last 7 days
Net flow
$81.1k
Buy
$153.2k
Sell
$72.1k
Whales
136
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc851…cd2a | $94.8k | $60.5k | $34.3k | $-26.2k |
| 0x614d…1546 | $71.0k | $50.3k | $20.7k | $-29.5k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $62.2k | $37.4k | $24.7k | $-12.7k |
| 0x88e2…7489 | $48.8k | $25.3k | $23.5k | $-1.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1359…092e | 542 | $318.8k | $-242.1k | 4 |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | 477 | $302.9k | $-129.2k | 5 |
| 0x187f…5fee | 478 | $283.9k | $-33.8k | 4 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 694 | $276.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 11 total · Event board
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
closed · $3.33M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
closed · $3.39M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
closed · $3.34M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
closed · $2.96M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
closed · $2.53M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
closed · $2.65M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
closed · $953.3k
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
closed · $2.36M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
open · $1.39M
85.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
open · $501.8k
63.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
open · $933.0k
59.0%
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $43.0k | $43.0k | $0 | $-43.0k |
| 0x1359…092e | $42.5k | $38.3k | $4.2k | $-34.0k |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $41.7k | $29.6k | $12.1k | $-17.5k |
| 0x3007…763a | $40.7k | $23.1k | $17.6k | $-5.5k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $38.2k | $23.3k | $14.9k | $-8.5k |
| 0xeca0…e8f8 | $36.8k | $17.7k | $19.2k | $1.5k |
| 0x162f…798d | $35.0k | $25.9k | $9.1k | $-16.8k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $33.6k | $16.5k | $17.1k | $548 |
| $-249.5k |
| 5 |
| 0xc851…cd2a | 183 | $262.9k | $-114.2k | 3 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 570 | $242.2k | $-128.6k | 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 1,172 | $217.0k | $-216.0k | 5 |
| 0xe234…304a | 423 | $215.0k | $-27.5k | 5 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 246 | $213.3k | $-124.7k | 2 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 604 | $212.5k | $-50.5k | 5 |
