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Brazil Presidential ElectionActive 59 days left

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0x101d084cd035070abde58d8a3113b78e11ba68028b0d9e7e38ea7d780797aecc

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $4.36M · whales 24h net $-12.2k (22 wallets) · 7d net $18.2k · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$4.36M

CLOB

Traders

3,452

43,872 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

0.2% → 0.2% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$-12.2k

Buy

$19.5k

Sell

$31.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$18.2k

Buy

$144.2k

Sell

$126.0k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($18.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Whales net sellers 24h ($-12.2k)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 01:32:36

100.3¢$98

NOBUY2026-08-06 01:32:36

33333.3¢$98

NOBUY2026-08-06 01:24:15

99.8¢$80

—BUY2026-08-06 01:24:15

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-06 00:54:23

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb687…aee5	$123.0k	$120.2k	$2.9k	$-117.3k
0x6062…92dc	$113.9k	$1.4k	$112.6k	$111.2k
0xc0bf…b4cd	$66.5k	$65.9k	$648	$-65.2k
0x4ad6…bf78	$59.2k	$862	$58.4k	$57.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	16,148	$2.01M	$-1.69M	17
0x2106…4dea	3,952	$826.7k	$-826.2k	17
0x1229…df38	1,564	$530.9k	$-155.9k	8
0x511f…cbe1	758	$500.4k

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