0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 64.5% · CLOB volume $8.08M · whales 24h net $38.1k (65 wallets) · 7d net $218.7k · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
64.5%
Yes
Implied No
35.5%
No
Volume
$8.08M
CLOB
Traders
9,168
91,134 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
66.0% → 65.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$38.1k
Buy
$62.9k
Sell
$24.8k
Whales
65
Last 7 days
Net flow
$218.7k
Buy
$365.8k
Sell
$147.1k
Whales
226
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb687…aee5 | $187.6k | $120.2k | $67.4k | $-52.7k |
| 0x636c…a2cf | $126.3k | $63.8k | $62.5k | $-1.3k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $83.1k | $62.1k | $21.0k | $-41.0k |
| 0xbacd…ab35 | $72.9k | $50.0k | $22.9k | $-27.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb687…aee5 | 16,148 | $2.01M | $-1.69M | 17 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 3,952 | $826.7k | $-826.2k | 17 |
| 0x1229…df38 | 1,564 | $530.9k | $-155.9k | 8 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 758 | $500.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
11 open · 17 total · Event board
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $8.08M
64.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $8.04M
26.6%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $9.04M
6.9%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $5.55M
2.3%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $4.81M
0.4%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $9.61M
0.4%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $5.41M
0.4%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $5.10M
0.3%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $4.36M
0.3%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $6.74M
0.1%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $3.50M
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $13.87M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.42M
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.41M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.94M
0.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.91M
0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $2.35M
0.1%
| 0x8090…42c1 | $53.4k | $40.1k | $13.3k | $-26.8k |
| 0x3dca…3c13 | $52.1k | $32.2k | $19.8k | $-12.4k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $51.3k | $30.7k | $20.6k | $-10.1k |
| 0x319f…500b | $48.7k | $29.8k | $18.9k | $-11.0k |
| 0xbca8…b680 | $47.9k | $33.5k | $14.4k | $-19.0k |
| 0x9ddf…2c83 | $46.1k | $26.7k | $19.4k | $-7.4k |
| 0xd3a7…3362 | $44.5k | $44.5k | $0 | $-44.5k |
| 0xbb92…2dd5 | $42.6k | $22.1k | $20.5k | $-1.5k |
| $-422.5k |
| 17 |
| 0xdd9e…49b3 | 576 | $485.1k | $355.0k | 5 |
| 0xb886…81b3 | 6,783 | $446.2k | $-328.8k | 6 |
| 0xc03c…50af | 9,786 | $426.1k | $-284.0k | 13 |
| 0x70d9…a684 | 2,456 | $415.4k | $-415.1k | 16 |
| 0xbefa…300d | 3,149 | $408.5k | $-403.2k | 10 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 663 | $371.4k | $-371.4k | 16 |