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Brazil Presidential ElectionActive 59 days left

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0xafd3f96b7b6084509e625270538ff0699003fafc042263c1216e7f084cef753a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $4.91M · whales 24h net $35.0k (1 wallets) · 7d net $45.6k · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$4.91M

CLOB

Traders

3,971

37,976 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$35.0k

Buy

$35.0k

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$45.6k

Buy

$46.2k

Sell

$590

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($35.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($45.6k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-05 15:43:51

0.1¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-05 15:43:51

100000.0¢$5.0k

—BUY2026-08-05 15:36:53

0.1¢$10

NOBUY2026-08-05 15:36:53

100000.0¢$10.0k

—BUY2026-08-05 15:27:08

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc21e…0215	$148.1k	$148.1k	$68	$-148.0k
0xb687…aee5	$48.9k	$48.5k	$401	$-48.1k
0xb8cd…02cd	$39.0k	$39	$39.0k	$39.0k
0x12b4…a1be	$33.5k	$33	$33.5k	$33.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	16,148	$2.01M	$-1.69M	17
0x2106…4dea	3,952	$826.7k	$-826.2k	17
0x1229…df38	1,564	$530.9k	$-155.9k	8
0x511f…cbe1	758	$500.4k

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