Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0xbca3d70ec52a5a441ccc365a3b1b48b9cd0f08dfff4bc5871e2cd92d0d92caa1

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $7.82M total volume.

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner No · final Yes 0.0% · CLOB volume $7.82M · 2/19 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

0.0%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$7.82M

CLOB

Traders

7,525

91,285 trades

Yes 0.0%No 100.0%

Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$78

Buy

$32.1k

Sell

$32.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner No
•Final Yes 0.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-05 07:10:14

100.1¢$11

NOBUY2026-10-05 07:10:14

100000.0¢$11

NOBUY2026-10-05 07:08:02

100.1¢$12

NOBUY2026-10-05 07:08:02

100000.0¢$12

NOBUY2026-10-05 06:17:05

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x58b3…653c	$323.7k	$323.2k	$518	$-322.6k
0x9561…0570	$191.9k	$355	$191.6k	$191.2k
0xeb34…7268	$151.6k	$151.4k	$216	$-151.2k
0xa83c…f175	$113.0k	$333	$112.7k	$112.3k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x58b3…653c	3,968	$5.74M	$-4.82M	13
0xa3a4…5106	4,291	$2.07M	$-1.83M	5
0xeb34…7268	2,665	$1.84M	$-1.61M	12
0x23d8…0288	1,059	$1.23M

Dig deeper with Polydata

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