0xbca3d70ec52a5a441ccc365a3b1b48b9cd0f08dfff4bc5871e2cd92d0d92caa1
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 2.3% · CLOB volume $5.55M · whales 24h net $-13.3k (46 wallets) · 7d net $140.0k · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.3%
Yes
Implied No
97.7%
No
Volume
$5.55M
CLOB
Traders
7,046
79,468 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.4% → 2.1% (+0.7pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-13.3k
Buy
$77.1k
Sell
$90.4k
Whales
46
Last 7 days
Net flow
$140.0k
Buy
$259.6k
Sell
$119.6k
Whales
108
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb687…aee5 | $124.9k | $120.2k | $4.7k | $-115.5k |
| 0x2ca9…88fe | $91.8k | $2.2k | $89.6k | $87.4k |
| 0xc291…0ef5 | $83.0k | $4.1k | $78.9k | $74.8k |
| 0x30fc…510d | $76.0k | $64.4k | $11.6k | $-52.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb687…aee5 | 16,148 | $2.01M | $-1.69M | 17 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 3,952 | $826.7k | $-826.2k | 17 |
| 0x1229…df38 | 1,564 | $530.9k | $-155.9k | 8 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 758 | $500.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
11 open · 17 total · Event board
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $8.08M
64.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $8.04M
26.6%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $9.03M
6.9%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $5.55M
1.9%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $5.41M
0.5%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $4.81M
0.4%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $9.61M
0.4%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $5.10M
0.3%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $4.36M
0.3%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $6.74M
0.1%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $3.50M
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $13.87M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.41M
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.41M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.94M
0.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.91M
0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $2.35M
0.1%
| 0xa83c…f175 | $74.1k | $13.1k | $61.0k | $47.8k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $57.1k | $57.1k | $0 | $-57.1k |
| 0xa7bf…51ae | $54.7k | $44.8k | $9.9k | $-35.0k |
| 0xb48b…342e | $47.8k | $20.2k | $27.6k | $7.4k |
| 0x1229…df38 | $43.1k | $25.1k | $17.9k | $-7.2k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $41.4k | $40.8k | $601 | $-40.2k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $39.0k | $30.7k | $8.2k | $-22.5k |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | $36.0k | $36.0k | $0 | $-36.0k |
| $-422.5k |
| 17 |
| 0xdd9e…49b3 | 576 | $485.1k | $355.0k | 5 |
| 0xb886…81b3 | 6,783 | $446.2k | $-328.8k | 6 |
| 0xc03c…50af | 9,786 | $426.1k | $-284.0k | 13 |
| 0x70d9…a684 | 2,456 | $415.4k | $-415.1k | 16 |
| 0xbefa…300d | 3,148 | $406.3k | $-401.0k | 10 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 663 | $371.4k | $-371.4k | 16 |
