0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 84% YES on Polymarket with $17.97M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 83.9% · CLOB volume $17.97M · whales 24h net $360.8k (296 wallets) · 7d net $3.68M · 2/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
83.9%
Yes
Implied No
16.1%
No
Volume
$17.97M
CLOB
Traders
12,523
168,035 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
84.6% → 83.8% (-0.8pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$360.8k
Buy
$699.7k
Sell
$338.9k
Whales
296
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.68M
Buy
$7.30M
Sell
$3.62M
Whales
1969
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x88c4…129a | $725.6k | $332.9k | $392.7k | $59.8k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $588.9k | $427.7k | $161.2k | $-266.5k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $520.5k | $513.7k | $6.8k | $-506.9k |
| 0xeb49…693e | $487.4k | $211.5k | $275.9k | $64.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 3,968 | $5.74M | $-4.82M | 13 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 4,276 | $2.06M | $-1.82M | 5 |
| 0xeb34…7268 | 2,665 | $1.84M | $-1.61M | 12 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 1,087 | $1.23M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 19 total · Event board
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $17.97M
83.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $18.91M
15.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $17.12M
0.0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $14.96M
0.0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.50M
0.0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.49M
0.0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.42M
0.0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $9.36M
0.0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $8.03M
0.0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.82M
0.0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.74M
0.0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.74M
0.0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.62M
0.0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $5.61M
0.0%
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $5.51M
0.0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.98M
0.0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.11M
0.0%
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.01M
0.0%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $2.43M
0.0%
| 0x212f…7fd2 | $467.7k | $320.2k | $147.5k | $-172.8k |
| 0x8aa7…0d94 | $365.5k | $201.3k | $164.2k | $-37.1k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $340.9k | $303.0k | $37.9k | $-265.0k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $313.3k | $125.6k | $187.7k | $62.1k |
| 0xe234…304a | $306.6k | $179.0k | $127.6k | $-51.4k |
| 0x7c75…4d1d | $301.7k | $119.6k | $182.0k | $62.4k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $271.8k | $135.4k | $136.4k | $1.0k |
| 0x6575…b198 | $253.4k | $165.7k | $87.7k | $-78.0k |
| $-640.9k |
| 10 |
| 0x8b4b…541b | 569 | $1.18M | $-483.1k | 4 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 1,005 | $1.10M | $-61.7k | 2 |
| 0x77fb…266c | 692 | $995.8k | $-585.3k | 3 |
| 0x7c75…4d1d | 543 | $981.8k | $240.3k | 2 |
| 0xd3a7…3362 | 3,092 | $774.7k | $-774.0k | 2 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 1,269 | $712.9k | $-554.2k | 4 |
