0x9cf563d7b55aa9aa876d5d7e55126347eee473f0ae56d799e325fdef2bf25297
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $5.31M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $5.31M · whales 24h net $109.7k (62 wallets) · 7d net $1.03M · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$5.31M
CLOB
Traders
1,319
15,159 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.5% → 0.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$109.7k
Buy
$341.7k
Sell
$232.1k
Whales
62
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.03M
Buy
$2.10M
Sell
$1.07M
Whales
212
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb4f2…7862 | $1.17M | $1.17M | $4.5k | $-1.16M |
| 0x58b3…653c | $993.8k | $981.7k | $12.0k | $-969.7k |
| 0x7001…2aba | $396.9k | $2.0k | $394.8k | $392.8k |
| 0xad42…ff42 | $279.4k | $139.8k | $139.6k | $-139 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 3,345 | $4.98M | $-3.67M | 5 |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | 3,509 | $2.82M | $264.9k | 4 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 1,444 | $2.16M | $358.8k | 2 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 1,788 | $1.59M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $7.82M
83.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $6.68M
15.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $5.31M
0.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $3.91M
0.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $4.80M
0.1%
| 0x7f87…0c99 | $265.4k | $132.8k | $132.6k | $-277 |
| 0xdd9c…4ae0 | $249.4k | $1.5k | $247.9k | $246.4k |
| 0x24d2…1472 | $234.9k | $133.5k | $101.4k | $-32.1k |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $210.6k | $199.7k | $10.9k | $-188.8k |
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $198.9k | $132.3k | $66.6k | $-65.8k |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | $161.0k | $80.4k | $80.6k | $238 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $137.3k | $136.9k | $409 | $-136.5k |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | $136.3k | $136.3k | $0 | $-136.3k |
| $-1.57M |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 267 | $832.6k | $-546.1k | 5 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 376 | $771.4k | $-89.2k | 3 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 1,111 | $752.9k | $-483.1k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 706 | $640.2k | $-244.3k | 4 |
| 0xad42…ff42 | 58 | $627.7k | $-362 | 2 |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 396 | $599.4k | $-516.5k | 5 |
