0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 84% YES on Polymarket with $7.82M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 83.5% · CLOB volume $7.82M · whales 24h net $55.1k (117 wallets) · 7d net $1.46M · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
83.5%
Yes
Implied No
16.5%
No
Volume
$7.82M
CLOB
Traders
3,456
30,215 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
84.0% → 83.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$55.1k
Buy
$123.3k
Sell
$68.2k
Whales
117
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.46M
Buy
$3.02M
Sell
$1.56M
Whales
820
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7cf9…2798 | $1.46M | $614.8k | $842.4k | $227.7k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $1.17M | $727.3k | $441.3k | $-286.0k |
| 0xc658…b784 | $1.06M | $503.0k | $557.7k | $54.7k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $508.2k | $296.0k | $212.2k | $-83.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 3,345 | $4.98M | $-3.67M | 5 |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | 3,509 | $2.82M | $264.9k | 4 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 1,444 | $2.16M | $358.8k | 2 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 1,788 | $1.59M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $7.82M
83.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $6.68M
15.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $5.31M
0.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $3.91M
0.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $4.80M
0.1%
| 0xe907…cff6 | $468.6k | $278.7k | $189.9k | $-88.9k |
| 0xbe89…b88c | $375.3k | $218.8k | $156.4k | $-62.4k |
| 0x68c2…1711 | $246.5k | $189.3k | $57.2k | $-132.1k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $246.4k | $204.7k | $41.8k | $-162.9k |
| 0xfbe6…00f8 | $246.0k | $135.0k | $111.0k | $-24.1k |
| 0x3c91…9af7 | $200.0k | $180.5k | $19.5k | $-161.0k |
| 0x7b02…4991 | $198.1k | $121.5k | $76.6k | $-44.9k |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $184.7k | $63.7k | $121.0k | $57.4k |
| $-1.57M |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 267 | $832.6k | $-546.1k | 5 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 376 | $771.4k | $-89.2k | 3 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 1,111 | $752.9k | $-483.1k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 706 | $640.2k | $-244.3k | 4 |
| 0xad42…ff42 | 58 | $627.7k | $-362 | 2 |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 396 | $599.4k | $-516.5k | 5 |