0xa69ef420d8b4075ad8ba8611d02c63cb2ece46f5c8c643af223c272689b0c96f
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $4.80M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $4.80M · whales 24h net $232.9k (56 wallets) · 7d net $864.8k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$4.80M
CLOB
Traders
981
8,942 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.1% → 0.2% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$232.9k
Buy
$369.3k
Sell
$136.4k
Whales
56
Last 7 days
Net flow
$864.8k
Buy
$1.71M
Sell
$848.7k
Whales
219
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | $961.9k | $960.5k | $1.4k | $-959.2k |
| 0xde7c…c933 | $440.7k | $220.4k | $220.2k | $-220 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | $368.0k | $366.1k | $1.8k | $-364.3k |
| 0xa1d6…e727 | $351.1k | $351.0k | $143 | $-350.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 3,345 | $4.98M | $-3.67M | 5 |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | 3,509 | $2.82M | $264.9k | 4 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 1,444 | $2.16M | $358.8k | 2 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 1,788 | $1.59M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $7.82M
83.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $6.68M
15.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $5.31M
0.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $3.91M
0.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $4.80M
0.1%
| 0xad42…ff42 | $348.2k | $174.2k | $174.0k | $-222 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | $320.4k | $317.9k | $2.5k | $-315.4k |
| 0x9b0b…5e43 | $300.9k | $300.9k | $0 | $-300.9k |
| 0xae7e…02d2 | $241.8k | $121.0k | $120.9k | $-123 |
| 0x2376…e94f | $230.2k | $115.6k | $114.6k | $-1000 |
| 0x92ae…0376 | $224.1k | $862 | $223.2k | $222.3k |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $202.2k | $199.7k | $2.5k | $-197.2k |
| 0xaa84…b016 | $167.2k | $500 | $166.7k | $166.2k |
| $-1.57M |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 267 | $832.6k | $-546.1k | 5 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 376 | $771.4k | $-89.2k | 3 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 1,111 | $752.9k | $-483.1k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 706 | $640.2k | $-244.3k | 4 |
| 0xad42…ff42 | 58 | $627.7k | $-362 | 2 |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 396 | $599.4k | $-516.5k | 5 |