0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $6.68M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.5% · CLOB volume $6.68M · whales 24h net $61.7k (95 wallets) · 7d net $792.7k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.5%
Yes
Implied No
84.5%
No
Volume
$6.68M
CLOB
Traders
2,686
24,825 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
15.0% → 15.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$61.7k
Buy
$166.2k
Sell
$104.5k
Whales
95
Last 7 days
Net flow
$792.7k
Buy
$1.87M
Sell
$1.07M
Whales
539
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc658…b784 | $1.10M | $398.4k | $702.4k | $304.0k |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | $1.06M | $487.5k | $572.6k | $85.0k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $857.8k | $677.6k | $180.2k | $-497.4k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $532.2k | $322.6k | $209.6k | $-113.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 3,345 | $4.98M | $-3.67M | 5 |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | 3,509 | $2.82M | $264.9k | 4 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 1,444 | $2.16M | $358.8k | 2 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 1,788 | $1.59M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $7.82M
83.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $6.68M
15.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $5.31M
0.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $3.91M
0.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $4.80M
0.1%
| 0x35bb…009b | $283.1k | $253.3k | $29.7k | $-223.6k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $246.4k | $117.5k | $128.9k | $11.3k |
| 0xeee1…3e28 | $232.3k | $102.6k | $129.7k | $27.1k |
| 0xe033…40a5 | $203.2k | $105.7k | $97.5k | $-8.2k |
| 0x3a8a…7699 | $201.2k | $124.2k | $77.0k | $-47.2k |
| 0x032e…2a9e | $198.0k | $79.6k | $118.4k | $38.8k |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | $151.1k | $142.0k | $9.2k | $-132.8k |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $149.4k | $149.4k | $0 | $-149.4k |
| $-1.57M |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 267 | $832.6k | $-546.1k | 5 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 376 | $771.4k | $-89.2k | 3 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 1,110 | $752.8k | $-483.0k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 706 | $640.2k | $-244.3k | 4 |
| 0xad42…ff42 | 58 | $627.7k | $-362 | 2 |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 396 | $599.4k | $-516.5k | 5 |
