Home/Market/0x094772…ba9920

Iran leadership change by...?Active 55 days left

Iran leadership change by September 30?

0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $329.3k · whales 24h net $4.3k (7 wallets) · 7d net $108.8k · 4/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.5%

Yes

Implied No

94.5%

Volume

$329.3k

CLOB

Traders

232

2,693 trades

Yes 5.5%No 94.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$4.3k

Buy

$8.6k

Sell

$4.2k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$108.8k

Buy

$181.6k

Sell

$72.8k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($4.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($108.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-05 21:45:05

106.4¢$1.5k

NOBUY2026-08-05 21:45:05

94.0¢$976

NOBUY2026-08-05 21:45:05

1666.7¢$419

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:22:50

106.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:22:50

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x97cb…c910	$72.2k	$36.6k	$35.6k	$-1.1k
0xb100…6461	$45.5k	$38.8k	$6.7k	$-32.2k
0x25db…28de	$43.7k	$31.6k	$12.2k	$-19.4k
0x54a7…881b	$27.0k	$21.2k	$5.8k	$-15.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	482	$903.6k	$299.4k	1
0xd5c1…5280	73	$476.3k	$-77.9k	2
0x753b…9f35	95	$473.6k	$-85.8k	2
0xb076…07d3	215	$349.2k

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