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Iran leadership change by...?Active 25 days left

Iran leadership change by August 31?

0x43e12647a58ee0b20d2539d23764b0d561ea7be322acb8823f7bb126e67c115e

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 3.0% · CLOB volume $652.1k · whales 24h net $2.5k (13 wallets) · 7d net $239.8k · 4/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

3.0%

Yes

Implied No

97.0%

Volume

$652.1k

CLOB

Traders

256

1,204 trades

Yes 3.0%No 97.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$2.5k

Buy

$3.9k

Sell

$1.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$239.8k

Buy

$451.3k

Sell

$211.4k

Whales

179

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($2.5k)
•7d whale net still positive ($239.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 3.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:15:36

103.2¢$1.1k

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:15:36

96.9¢$838

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:15:36

96.9¢$97

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:15:36

97.0¢$49

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:15:36

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x753b…9f35	$393.8k	$200.0k	$193.9k	$-6.1k
0xd5c1…5280	$364.3k	$239.6k	$124.7k	$-115.0k
0x122c…fbed	$63.8k	$29.6k	$34.2k	$4.5k
0x97cb…c910	$49.2k	$24.4k	$24.7k	$284

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	482	$903.6k	$299.4k	1
0xd5c1…5280	73	$476.3k	$-77.9k	2
0x753b…9f35	95	$473.6k	$-85.8k	2
0xb076…07d3	215	$349.2k

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