Home/Market/0xe80243…0d6165

Iran leadership change by...?Active 328 days left

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

0xe802435286a79c0086810443a824d596619a6f34f901c112f0b70e4e140d6165

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 22.5% · CLOB volume $190.7k · whales 24h net $43 (2 wallets) · 7d net $22.0k · 4/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

22.5%

Yes

Implied No

77.5%

Volume

$190.7k

CLOB

Traders

262

1,832 trades

Yes 22.5%No 77.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

23.0% → 22.0% (-1.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$43

Buy

$43

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$22.0k

Buy

$30.7k

Sell

$8.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($43)
•7d whale net still positive ($22.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 22.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 01:42:17

454.5¢$43

YESBUY2026-08-06 01:42:17

22.0¢$10

YESBUY2026-08-05 07:56:50

23.0¢$10

NOBUY2026-08-05 07:56:50

77.0¢$33

NOBUY2026-08-05 03:51:15

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xcc03…d5c0	$42.2k	$27.4k	$14.9k	$-12.5k
0x122c…fbed	$25.8k	$13.4k	$12.4k	$-993
0xb100…6461	$21.2k	$11.9k	$9.3k	$-2.6k
0xe258…d084	$11.9k	$8.0k	$3.9k	$-4.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	482	$903.6k	$299.4k	1
0xd5c1…5280	73	$476.3k	$-77.9k	2
0x753b…9f35	95	$473.6k	$-85.8k	2
0xb076…07d3	215	$349.2k

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