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Iran leadership change by...?Active 55 days left

Iran leadership change by November 30?

0x7a611b2ae4e3b871580dececcf7cf126eead47fe58ebea15b1865a7c8a881376

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Iran leadership change by November 30?” trades at 7% YES on Polymarket with $141.2k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 6.5% · CLOB volume $141.2k · whales 24h net $10.7k (21 wallets) · 7d net $29.0k · 4/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

6.5%

Yes

Implied No

93.5%

Volume

$141.2k

CLOB

Traders

237

1,493 trades

Yes 6.5%No 93.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

6.0% → 6.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$10.7k

Buy

$15.4k

Sell

$4.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$29.0k

Buy

$70.6k

Sell

$41.6k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($10.7k)
•7d whale net still positive ($29.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-08 01:09:26

94.0¢$15

NOBUY2026-10-08 01:09:26

106.4¢$16

YESBUY2026-10-07 19:15:54

6.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-10-07 19:15:54

94.0¢$32

NOBUY2026-10-07 19:12:54

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x97cb…c910	$33.5k	$15.5k	$18.0k	$2.5k
0x8afa…adb6	$28.6k	$25.8k	$2.8k	$-23.0k
0xd85b…4807	$21.7k	$9.9k	$11.8k	$1.9k
0x524d…4495	$17.7k	$1.1k	$16.6k	$15.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xd5c1…5280	92	$807.3k	$-121.9k	1
0xebd3…446d	69	$741.0k	$-201.5k	1
0x8afa…adb6	1,009	$565.5k	$-370.2k	5
0x12d6…f2a8	428	$198.4k

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